Local Transport Today is the authoritative, independent journal for transport decision makers. Analysis, Comment & News on Transport Policy, Planning, Finance and Delivery since 1989.

Look carefully at ‘Generation Next’ – they can’t afford to become tomorrow’s drivers

Scott Le Vine, Centre for Transport Studies
11 July 2014
Scott Le Vine is a research associate in transport systems at Imperial College London’s Centre for Transport Studies. He co-authored the forthcoming ‘Generation Next’ study.
Scott Le Vine is a research associate in transport systems at Imperial College London’s Centre for Transport Studies. He co-authored the forthcoming ‘Generation Next’ study.

 

Though we may not often pause to think of ourselves this way, transport planners are professional futurologists. We spend much of our time thinking about how people will get about five, ten, 20 years from now, and the infrastructure that will be needed to deliver safe and efficient mobility. The way we typically forecast future travel is by studying the past – in great detail – and drawing statistical links between how and how much people travel day-to-day on the one hand, and...

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