John Dales raises an interesting point regarding the gap between modelling and opinion or professional judgement (‘In what or whom do we trust?’ LTT 12 Oct).
Modelling is essential but in my experience there can be a disconnect between modellers and those developing schemes. Modellers can often be unaware of exactly how model output will be used, so there can be a tendency to produce a model that meets the necessary statistical tests but fails to adequately serve its intended...
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