Revising risk and revenue

Are risks associated with longer-term revenue really trivial? Traffic forecasting reports typically lack transparency in this regard, says infrastructure investment analyst Rob Bain, and suggests that forecasting consultants need to raise their game by explaining what they did, when they did it – and why

Rob Bain
15 May 2015
Robert Bain runs RBconsult and is a Visiting Research Fellow at the University of Leeds (see www.robbain.com for more information)

This article was first published in Infrastructure Investor magazine.
Robert Bain runs RBconsult and is a Visiting Research Fellow at the University of Leeds (see www.robbain.com for more information) This article was first published in Infrastructure Investor magazine.

 

When gauging long-term toll road performance, traffic forecasting consultants' forecasts can be arbitrary, inconsistent, frequently opaque and often without justification, and yet are potentially important when it comes to asset valuation. This is what I found when, in response to a seemingly innocuous question regarding the common industry practice of ‘dampening’ longer-term traffic forecasts (attenuating growth in the outer years), I recently examined the subject in some...

+96% more

 

Head of Fleet Management
Brighton & Hove Council
Hollingdean Depot
£61,050 - £66,734
Deputy Team Leader - Transport Planning
London Borough of Havering
Town Hall, Romford, Essex, RM1 3BB, GB
Grade 9 £51,093 - £55,155 pa
Deputy Team Leader - Transport Planning
London Borough of Havering
Town Hall, Romford, Essex, RM1 3BB, GB
Grade 9 £51,093 - £55,155 pa
View all Vacancies
 
Search
 
 
 

TransportXtra is part of Landor LINKS

© 2024 TransportXtra | Landor LINKS Ltd | All Rights Reserved

Subscriptions, Magazines & Online Access Enquires
[Frequently Asked Questions]
Email: subs.ltt@landor.co.uk | Tel: +44 (0) 20 7091 7959

Shop & Accounts Enquires
Email: accounts@landor.co.uk | Tel: +44 (0) 20 7091 7855

Advertising Sales & Recruitment Enquires
Email: daniel@landor.co.uk | Tel: +44 (0) 20 7091 7861

Events & Conference Enquires
Email: conferences@landor.co.uk | Tel: +44 (0) 20 7091 7865

Press Releases & Editorial Enquires
Email: info@transportxtra.com | Tel: +44 (0) 20 7091 7875

Privacy Policy | Terms and Conditions | Advertise

Web design london by Brainiac Media 2020