Admitting uncertainty ‘may not be wise’

Forecasting

08 March 2021
 

Legal challenges against transport projects could grow if project promoters are more honest about the uncertainties of their demand forecasts, says a new report.

“It is almost wilfully naïve to insist that there is only one potential future for travel, but many of our current processes seem set up to insist this is the case,” says the Institute for Government’s report on the use of evidence in transport policy.  

The authors say being more honest about uncertainties...

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